TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:43 PM EST
Opinion
This market refers to the Ligue 1 match between Estac Troyes (TRO) and Marseille (MAR), scheduled for 2026-10-11 18:45 UTC. - TRO: If Estac Troyes wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - MAR: If Marseille wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both TRO and MAR options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Ligue 1. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.ligue1.com/
This market refers to the Ligue 1 match between Estac Troyes (TRO) and Marseille (MAR), scheduled for 2026-10-11 18:45 UTC. - TRO: If Estac Troyes wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - MAR: If Marseille wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both TRO and MAR options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Ligue 1. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.ligue1.com/
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market’s odds are driven purely by supply and demand among traders. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than sportsbooks suggest, the price of shares representing that outcome will rise. This can create opportunities to find value where the market disagrees with conventional wisdom, though it's important to remember past performance doesn't guarantee future results.
On Opinion, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell shares representing each possible outcome of the Troyes vs Marseille match. The price of each share reflects the probability of that outcome as perceived by the market participants. On Opinion, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, offering a constantly updated assessment of the match's potential results.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Troyes vs Marseille match, as officially reported by sporting authorities, will determine the winning outcome. The platform will then verify the result against these sources to settle the market and distribute payouts to traders who correctly predicted the outcome. It's important to note that the official result is the sole determinant, regardless of any pre-match analysis or predictions.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before the Troyes vs Marseille match takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all influence trader behavior. Unexpected news regarding team morale or internal conflicts could also move the market, as traders react to perceived changes in the likelihood of each outcome. Monitoring these signals can provide insights into potential market movements.