TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:52 PM EST
Opinion
This market refers to the Ligue 1 match between Estac Troyes (TRO) and Lens (LEN), scheduled for 2026-10-17 18:45 UTC. - TRO: If Estac Troyes wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - LEN: If Lens wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both TRO and LEN options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Ligue 1. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.ligue1.com/
This market refers to the Ligue 1 match between Estac Troyes (TRO) and Lens (LEN), scheduled for 2026-10-17 18:45 UTC. - TRO: If Estac Troyes wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - LEN: If Lens wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both TRO and LEN options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Ligue 1. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.ligue1.com/
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs. If a significant number of people believe a particular outcome is more likely than the sportsbook suggests, the odds on Opinion will adjust accordingly. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks in accuracy, as they aggregate a wider range of information and perspectives. However, sportsbook odds can still be a useful point of comparison.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Estac Troyes vs Lens match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. Any potential postponements or cancellations will be factored into the resolution timeline, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for updates regarding the match schedule and final result to understand when this market will be settled.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team tactics for either Troyes or Lens would likely impact trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also shift the odds. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or changes in public sentiment, as reflected in sports news and analysis, could influence traders' beliefs and lead to price fluctuations. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding how this market evolves.