TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 5:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Est. Merida and Metropolitanos in Venezuela's Liga FUTVE. Bettors can speculate on which team will win the match within regular time, or if the game will end in a tie. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the full-time result of the Est. Merida vs Metropolitanos professional Venezuela Liga FUTVE soccer match scheduled for October 18, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Est. Merida, Metropolitanos, or Tie markets occurs if the respective team wins or the match ends level within regular time. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect resolution. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi’s procedures. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities as more information becomes available. Discrepancies can arise due to differing opinions, biases, or the influence of large bettors. It is common to see this market adjust rapidly to news or events impacting the perceived likelihood of each outcome, something sportsbooks may be slower to reflect.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's probability of that outcome occurring. As more people buy contracts for a particular result, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top outcome, as indicated by the highest implied probability, is Est. Merida winning, though this can change rapidly based on trading activity and new information related to the match.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Est. Merida vs Metropolitanos match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match, including any extra time or penalty shootouts if applicable. The platform will verify the final score against established sports data sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event result and settle the market accordingly.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding player injuries, suspensions, or changes in team lineups would likely cause price fluctuations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue could also influence the odds. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports commentators or analysts, as well as any significant shifts in public opinion, could drive trading activity and move the market. Finally, in-match events, such as early goals or red cards, would immediately impact the probabilities reflected in this market.