TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 4:17 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks which team will win ESL Pro League Season 24. Currently, Polymarket gives Will Vitality Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? a 92.0% probability, while Will MOUZ Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? is at 8.0%. The market resolves based on the winner as reported by hltv.org, specifically at https://www.hltv.org/events/8244/esl-pro-league-season-24. Keep an eye on the start of the playoff stage, scheduled for October 3, 2026, as early results will heavily influence the likely winner of the tournament.
This market will resolve according to the winner of ESL Pro League Season 24, currently scheduled for October 3, 2026 to October 11, 2026. If this tournament is postponed after October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other." If multiple teams are declared winner, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be HLTV (https://www.hltv.org/events/8244/esl-pro-league-season-24); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each team’s chance of winning. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price converges towards what the crowd believes is the most accurate prediction. The more shares purchased for a particular team, the higher its price, and the greater its implied probability of winning the ESL Pro League Season 24. This dynamic pricing reflects the wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Oct 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results declared by the ESL Pro League organizers, identifying the team that wins the Season 24 championship. The winning team will be determined through the standard tournament format, including playoffs and a grand final. The market will then settle to 100% for the winning team and 0% for all others, reflecting the definitive result of the competition.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major roster changes for any of the top-contending teams, such as a star player being replaced due to injury or strategic decisions, would likely cause shifts in the odds. Unexpected results in preliminary matches or group stages of the tournament could also reshape market sentiment. News regarding team practice performance, strategic adaptations, or even travel conditions could also play a role. Finally, any significant upsets during the playoffs, where lower-ranked teams defeat favored opponents, would likely lead to substantial movements in this market.