TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 8:58 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Ettan soccer match between Eskilsminne and Olympic, focusing on determining whether Eskilsminne, Olympic, or neither (a tie) secures a victory within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The resolution depends strictly on the final score after regulation time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match is significantly altered or canceled, the markets will be priced fairly according to specific conditions.
The event determines the winner of the Eskilsminne vs Olympic professional Ettan soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Eskilsminne win, Olympic win, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the defined procedures. The event explicitly excludes outcomes determined by extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing only on the result within the standard match duration.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to freely express their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the larger number of participants contributing to the prediction market price. It’s common to observe that prediction markets are more accurate forecasters of event outcomes than traditional betting markets, though this is not always the case.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Eskilsminne vs Olympic match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly. The current price indicates the cost to purchase a contract predicting a specific result.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Eskilsminne vs Olympic match as reported by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event conclusion. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team strategies or player availability would also likely cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, significant bets placed by informed traders could also move the market, as others react to their actions. Monitoring these signals can provide insight into how the market’s predictions are evolving as the event approaches.