TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 2:23 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Escorpiones de Belén and Sporting FC, scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Escorpiones de Belén" if Escorpiones de Belén are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sporting FC" if Sporting FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Escorpiones de Belén and Sporting FC, scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Escorpiones de Belén" if Escorpiones de Belén are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Sporting FC" if Sporting FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates the collective predictions of many individuals. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information and potentially offer more accurate probabilities than sportsbook odds, though this isn't always the case.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular team scoring first, the price of those shares increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of either Escorpiones de Belén or Sporting FC scoring the opening goal.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team – Escorpiones de Belén or Sporting FC – scores the first goal in the match. The resolution will be based on official match records and data sources to ensure accuracy. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match, regardless of any in-game events or challenges to the scoreline.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in starting lineups for either Escorpiones de Belén or Sporting FC would likely have an impact. Unexpected weather conditions or changes to the playing field could also shift expectations. Furthermore, pre-match analysis from sports commentators and analysts, as well as any significant shifts in public sentiment, could all contribute to changes in the market price as traders adjust their predictions.