TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 5:33 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between ES Troyes AC and Racing Club de Lens, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the halftime score of the ES Troyes AC vs. Racing Club de Lens match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time; second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual halftime score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between ES Troyes AC and Racing Club de Lens, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the halftime score of the ES Troyes AC vs. Racing Club de Lens match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time; second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual halftime score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs about the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or risk assessments. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, especially in response to breaking news or late-developing trends surrounding the teams.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different exact scores for the first half. The price of each share reflects the market’s implied probability of that score occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. Higher demand for shares of a particular outcome will drive up its price, while increased selling pressure will lower it. This dynamic pricing allows the market to efficiently aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the likely first-half result.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final score at the end of the first half of the ES Troyes AC vs. Racing Club de Lens match will determine the winning outcome. The result will be sourced from official match data and widely available sports news sources. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the market settlement. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions accordingly.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either ES Troyes AC or Racing Club de Lens would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced before the match could also shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could impact the style of play and, consequently, the likelihood of certain scores. Even general sentiment shifts – for example, a surge in public confidence in one team – could drive trading volume and alter the odds in this market.