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ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille - First Team to Score
predict
polymarket

What team will score first?

Volume:
$263

OLM

all

2 markets

Predict

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 11, 4:45 PM EST

predict

Predict

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
predict

OLM

View
57%
Yes 57¢No 43¢
—
$210
$215
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Olympique de Marseille

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

TRO

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$0
$48
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

ES Troyes AC

View
0%
37%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Neither

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Neither

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between ES Troyes AC and Olympique de Marseille. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, and provides a 'Neither' outcome if no goal is scored during that period.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict utilize identical resolution criteria regarding the first goal scored within the 90-minute match period, with a 'Neither' option and consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with fallback to Flashscore, Sofascore, or consensus reporting.

Core resolution logic:

  • The first team to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time determines the outcome.
  • If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes plus stoppage time, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
  • Postponed matches extend the market until completion.
  • Canceled matches (without a reschedule) resolve to 'Neither'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the match's conclusion, Flashscore is used. If Flashscore is unavailable, Sofascore is used. If both are unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting is used. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the market resolves 50-50 (or to 'Draw' where applicable).
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as the official result is available, and no later than 24 hours after the match's conclusion, even if relying on fallback data sources.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming match between ES Troyes AC and Olympique de Marseille, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "ES Troyes AC" if ES Troyes AC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Olympique de Marseille" if Olympique de Marseille are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Predict

In the upcoming match between ES Troyes AC and Olympique de Marseille, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "ES Troyes AC" if ES Troyes AC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Olympique de Marseille" if Olympique de Marseille are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard tracks the probability of either ES Troyes AC or Olympique de Marseille scoring the first goal in their upcoming match. Currently, the aggregated view across these platforms indicates a strong consensus, with a combined volume of $263 and 24-hour volume of $263. Polymarket currently favors Olympique de Marseille to score first at 97%, while Predict leans toward ES Troyes AC to score first. This allows users to see how the collective wisdom of prediction market traders assesses the likelihood of each team taking an early lead in the Troyes vs. Marseille first-to-score market.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect a more accurate assessment of probabilities than traditional sportsbook odds. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to express their true beliefs, while sportsbooks must account for profit margins and potential biases. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on expert analysis, this market incorporates the insights of a diverse crowd, leading to potentially more efficient price discovery. The difference between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds can sometimes be significant, particularly in events with complex or subjective elements.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict on the Troyes vs. Marseille first-to-score market can arise due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading volume also plays a role; a larger volume on one platform can lead to more stable and accurate pricing. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and order execution differ between Polymarket and Predict, which can influence price movements. These differences contribute to the observed variations in probabilities for each team to score first.