TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between ES Troyes AC and Olympique de Marseille, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the halftime score of the ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time; second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual halftime score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Ligue 1 game between ES Troyes AC and Olympique de Marseille, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the halftime score of the ES Troyes AC vs. Olympique de Marseille match originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET, considering only goals scored within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time; second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual halftime score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can often differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, whereas this market is driven purely by traders’ beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate. Examining both can offer a more comprehensive view.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official first-half exact score as reported by the governing football league. Any potential delays in official reporting may affect the resolution timeline, but the platform will aim for a swift and accurate determination. The final score will be the definitive factor in determining which shares pay out.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either ES Troyes AC or Olympique de Marseille would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to heavily impact the style of play, could also be a catalyst. Even pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts and any unexpected team lineup announcements could move the market as traders react to new information. Public sentiment and large trades could also contribute to price fluctuations.