TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 22.5
- Polymarket
Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 22.5 - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 24, 2026
Closed: Oct 24, 3:54 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Adrian Mannarino in the Erste Bank Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Adrian Mannarino. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Adrian Mannarino in the Erste Bank Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Adrian Mannarino. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from those offered by traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on internal models and aim to balance their risk, while this market is driven purely by individuals wagering on the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It’s common to see prediction markets react more quickly to new information than sportsbooks, leading to dynamic price adjustments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of each player winning. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price fluctuates, converging towards what the crowd believes is the true probability. The market's price is determined by supply and demand – if more people believe Tirante will win, the price of shares representing his victory will increase.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the match as declared by the tournament organizers. The winner of the Tirante vs Mannarino match will determine the winning share in this market. Any disputes regarding the official result will be addressed according to Polymarket’s standard procedures for verifying event outcomes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. News regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even pre-match analysis from tennis experts could all shift market sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the Erste Bank Open could also impact the perceived odds of both Tirante and Mannarino. Any significant information that alters the perceived probability of either player winning is likely to cause movement in this market.