TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5
- Polymarket
Erste Bank Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5 - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 29, 2026
Closed: Oct 29, 1:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Carlos Alcaraz in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Carlos Alcaraz in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Nikoloz Basilashvili' if Nikoloz Basilashvili advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Nikoloz Basilashvili. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly as new information becomes available, potentially surpassing the responsiveness of sportsbook lines.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of a particular outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price converges towards a collective assessment of the event's probability. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the Basilashvili vs Alcaraz match.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Basilashvili vs Alcaraz match as declared by the tournament organizers. This includes confirmation of the winner, and any relevant factors that determine the match's final outcome. The platform will then verify the result and distribute payouts to winning share holders accordingly.
Several factors could significantly influence this market leading up to the match. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated performance statistics could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player form or strategic adjustments could also trigger price movements. Furthermore, significant betting activity from informed traders or large volume purchases could indicate a change in perceived probabilities. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market for the Basilashvili vs Alcaraz match.