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Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz
limitless
polymarket

What is the result of Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz?

Volume:
$764,772

Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5

 - Polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 27, 2026

Closed: Oct 27, 1:09 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
45%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$11,779
N/A
N/A
N/A
10h 4m
Yes
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 21.5

View
100%
47%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,921
N/A
N/A
N/A
10h 4m
Yes
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 22.5

View
100%
55%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$312
N/A
N/A
N/A
10h 4m
Yes
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
10h 4m
Yes
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$733,938
N/A
N/A
N/A
10h 4m
No
limitless

Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$217
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 Winner

View
0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,839
N/A
N/A
N/A
10h 4m
No
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 Winner

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,532
N/A
N/A
N/A
10h 4m
No
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Match O/U 23.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$103
N/A
N/A
N/A
10h 4m
No
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
0%
34%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
N/A
10h 4m
No
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
10h 4m
No
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
10h 4m
Yes
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
10h 4m
Yes
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
10h 4m
No
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
10h 4m
Yes
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
10h 4m
Yes
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Karen Khachanov vs Carlos Alcaraz Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
10h 4m
Yes
Total markets: 17

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of Carlos Alcaraz achieving a set handicap of -1.5 against Karen Khachanov in the Erste Bank Open tennis match. Currently, the consensus probability across Limitless and Polymarket is 100.0% that Carlos Alcaraz will win by at least two sets. Resolution will be based on official ATP Tour statistics. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the outcome will be determined by the official results reported following the conclusion of play on November 3, 2026 – the date for determining the winner of this betting window.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms utilize the same primary resolution source (ATP Tour) and share consistent logic for handling match cancellations, incomplete matches, and player withdrawals.Primary resolution logic: Official ATP Tour statistics

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner markets resolve to the player who advances.
  • Incomplete matches or cancellations resolve to 50-50.
  • Retirement, default, or disqualification results in resolution for the advancing player.
  • Over/Under markets resolve based on completed play, with specific rules for determining outcomes when matches are incomplete.
  • All markets have a resolution deadline of November 10, 2026.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Tie: If the match ends in a tie, all markets will resolve to 50-50.
  • Cancellation: If the match is canceled (not played at all), all markets will resolve to 50-50.
  • Incomplete Match: If the match begins but is not completed, resolution depends on the specific market. Some resolve to 50-50, while others resolve based on completed play.
  • Over/Under Unconditional Determination: For Over/Under markets, if an outcome is already unconditionally determined based on completed play, it will resolve even if the match is not completed.
Timing: Resolution will occur once official ATP statistics are available, or by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET/23:59 UTC if no official statistics are published.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Karen Khachanov and Carlos Alcaraz in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Karen Khachanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Limitless

This market refers to the tennis match between Karen Khachanov and Carlos Alcaraz in the ATP Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 09:00 UTC. This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Karen Khachanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Limitless, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Alcaraz vs Khachanov match. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $764,772, with $766,522 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of the probabilities surrounding the match result. Polymarket currently favors a completed match, while Limitless leans toward a different outcome, reflecting differing opinions among traders on each venue. This provides a comprehensive look at market sentiment for this tennis event.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Limitless, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from imbalances in betting, while prediction markets incentivize participants to express their true beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment diverges from expert analysis. The volume of $764,772 on this market suggests significant interest and potentially a more accurate forecast than some traditional sources.