TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 11:03 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Seggerman/Tien and Neumayer/Rodionov in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Seggerman/Tien' if the team of Seggerman/Tien advances against Neumayer/Rodionov. This market will resolve to 'Neumayer/Rodionov' if the team of Neumayer/Rodionov advances against Seggerman/Tien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Seggerman/Tien and Neumayer/Rodionov in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Seggerman/Tien' if the team of Seggerman/Tien advances against Neumayer/Rodionov. This market will resolve to 'Neumayer/Rodionov' if the team of Neumayer/Rodionov advances against Seggerman/Tien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of Seggerman/Tien winning the match. As more shares are purchased for a particular outcome, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of shares dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, creating a real-time assessment of the potential result. This process allows the market to aggregate information from a wide range of participants, forming a collective forecast.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Erste Bank Open doubles match between Seggerman/Tien and Neumayer/Rodionov. The winning team, as declared by the tournament organizers, will determine the outcome of this market. Any potential delays or disputes regarding the official result will be addressed according to Polymarket’s standard resolution procedures.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. News regarding player injuries or changes in team strategy could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected performance in earlier rounds of the tournament, or even weather conditions affecting play, might also cause traders to reassess their positions. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media or expert analysis, could also play a role, though the market ultimately responds to traders’ willingness to buy or sell shares based on their own assessments of the likely outcome.