TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 29, 5:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Miedler/Oberleitner and Nouza/Venus in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miedler/Oberleitner' if the team of Miedler/Oberleitner advances against Nouza/Venus. This market will resolve to 'Nouza/Venus' if the team of Nouza/Venus advances against Miedler/Oberleitner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Miedler/Oberleitner and Nouza/Venus in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Miedler/Oberleitner' if the team of Miedler/Oberleitner advances against Nouza/Venus. This market will resolve to 'Nouza/Venus' if the team of Nouza/Venus advances against Miedler/Oberleitner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while this market allows traders to directly assess probabilities. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing expert opinions or information not yet fully priced into the sportsbook lines. It’s common to see prediction markets, particularly closer to the event, become more accurate predictors of outcomes than traditional odds.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the market's collective probability assessment of Miedler/Oberleitner winning against Nouza/Venus. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time view of expectations. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a share that pays out if Miedler/Oberleitner wins.
This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Erste Bank Open doubles match between Miedler/Oberleitner and Nouza/Venus. The platform will verify the winner based on publicly available match results. The market will then pay out to those who correctly predicted the winning team, based on the share price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or updated match analyses from tennis experts could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in earlier rounds of the tournament for either team could also impact expectations. Furthermore, significant trading volume, even without specific news, can indicate informed traders taking positions, potentially signaling a change in perceived probabilities. Monitoring these signals can help you understand how this market might evolve before it resolves.