TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5
- Polymarket
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz Set Handicap +/-1.5 - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 31, 2026
Closed: Oct 31, 12:20 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Carlos Alcaraz in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Carlos Alcaraz in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on expert analysis and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs and adjust prices based on new information. If there's a significant discrepancy, arbitrage opportunities may arise, where traders can profit by simultaneously betting on both platforms. However, it's important to note that prediction market odds are dynamic and can change rapidly as the event approaches and more information becomes available.
This market resolves around Nov 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on the official result of the Erste Bank Open match between Daniil Medvedev and Carlos Alcaraz. The outcome will be determined by whether the match is completed, and if so, which player is declared the winner according to the official tournament results. Any potential delays or changes to the match schedule will be reflected in the resolution timeline, ensuring a fair and accurate outcome for this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or even pre-match interviews revealing strategic insights could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches leading up to the Alcaraz vs Medvedev match could also shift expectations. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Polymarket itself can create momentum and drive price changes. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding the evolving dynamics of this market.