TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev
limitless
polymarket

What is the result of Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev?

Volume:
$615,645

Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-1.5

 - Polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-1.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 28, 2026

Closed: Oct 28, 10:41 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,138
N/A
N/A
N/A
9h 37m
Yes
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Game Spread +/-4.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$306
N/A
N/A
N/A
9h 37m
Yes
polymarket

Completed Match

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
N/A
9h 37m
Yes
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$581,390
N/A
N/A
N/A
9h 37m
No
limitless

Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev

View
0%
22%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$519
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 Winner

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,088
N/A
N/A
N/A
9h 37m
No
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 21.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,575
N/A
N/A
N/A
9h 37m
No
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 23.5

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$306
N/A
N/A
N/A
9h 37m
No
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 22.5

View
0%
44%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$214
N/A
N/A
N/A
9h 37m
No
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 Winner

View
0%
100%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$48
N/A
N/A
N/A
9h 37m
No
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Total Sets: O/U 2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
9h 37m
No
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 8.5

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
9h 37m
Yes
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
9h 37m
Yes
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 10.5

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
9h 37m
Yes
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 O/U 8.5

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
9h 37m
No
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 O/U 9.5

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
9h 37m
No
polymarket

Erste Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Daniil Medvedev Set 2 O/U 10.5

View
0%
50%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
9h 37m
No
Total markets: 17

Description

This prediction market group centers around a tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Daniil Medvedev in the Erste Bank Open. Markets cover the match winner, set winners, total sets played, game totals, and set/match handicaps.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Resolution criteria are consistent across both Polymarket and Limitless, relying on official ATP data and handling edge cases (cancellations, retirements) in a similar manner.Primary resolution logic: Official ATP Tour statistics

Core resolution logic:

  • Match winner markets resolve to the player who advances in the match.
  • Set winner markets resolve to the player who wins the specified set.
  • Over/Under markets resolve based on the total number of sets or games played, with tiebreaks counting as one unit.
  • Cancellations or matches not completed by November 10, 2026, generally resolve to 50-50, unless an outcome is already determined.
  • Retirements, defaults, or disqualifications resolve to the advancing player, or 50-50 if the outcome isn't already determined.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled or doesn't start by November 10, 2026, most markets resolve to 50-50, except where an outcome is already unequivocally determined (e.g., total sets over/under).
  • Retirement/Default: If a player retires or defaults, the advancing player wins the match winner market. Over/Under markets resolve based on completed play, or 50-50 if the outcome isn't determined.
  • Incomplete Match: If a match begins but isn't completed, markets resolve based on completed play where possible. Otherwise, they resolve to 50-50.
Timing: Markets will resolve once the official ATP Tour publishes match statistics, or by November 10, 2026, 23:59 UTC, if no official statistics are available.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Daniil Medvedev in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Limitless

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Merida Aguilar and Daniil Medvedev in the ATP Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 09:00 UTC. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 23:59 UTC (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Limitless, this dashboard tracks the probability of a specific outcome in the Medvedev vs Merida Aguilar match. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $615,645, with $571,804 traded in the last 24 hours. This indicates significant interest in predicting the result of this tennis match. The dashboard aggregates data from both venues to provide a consensus view of the likely winner, though differing probabilities exist between them. We are monitoring the market for shifts in sentiment as the event approaches.

Prediction market odds, like those seen on Polymarket and Limitless, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and risk management, while this market is driven by individual predictions and the willingness to take opposing positions. Differences can arise due to varying levels of information, biases, or simply differing interpretations of the players' form. It's possible to find value by comparing odds across both types of platforms.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in playing conditions, or unexpected announcements about team strategies could shift trader sentiment. Significant betting activity on either Polymarket or Limitless could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, updates on the players’ recent form, head-to-head records, or expert analysis could all contribute to movement in the market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the predicted outcome.