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410,482
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-1.5
- Polymarket
Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-1.5 - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 30, 2026
Closed: Oct 30, 10:48 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Daniil Medvedev in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Adrian Mannarino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Adrian Mannarino and Daniil Medvedev in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Adrian Mannarino. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that traders possess information or insights not yet fully priced into the sportsbook odds. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be perfectly accurate. Analyzing these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Mannarino vs Medvedev match as declared by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against established sports news sources and official tournament data to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment. The exact payout amount will depend on the final market price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding player fitness, such as an injury to either Mannarino or Medvedev, would likely cause significant movement. Changes in playing surface conditions or weather forecasts could also impact expectations. Furthermore, updates on head-to-head records, recent performance, or even strategic adjustments announced by either player’s camp could all contribute to shifts in the market. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the tournament might also indirectly influence trader sentiment and, consequently, the price of this market.