TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This market settles if the fight concludes before the start of round 2, meaning a finish occurs in the first round via knockout, technical knockout, submission, or disqualification.
The market resolves to Yes if the fight ends before round 2. This includes any finish—KO, TKO, Submission, or Disqualification—that occurs in Round 1. The event is the UFC Fight Night bout between Erin Blanchfield and Jasmine Jasudavicius scheduled for Oct 17, 2026.
Prediction market odds often reflect a different kind of wisdom than sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective judgment of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public perception differs from expert analysis. This market allows individuals to express their informed opinions, potentially leading to odds that diverge from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, and providing a unique perspective on the fight’s likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Erin Blanchfield versus Jasmine Jasudavicius fight, specifically whether the fight ends before the third round. The platform will verify the result against established fight records and reporting from recognized sports news sources. Traders will then be paid out according to their positions in the market, reflecting the accuracy of their predictions.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even tactical adjustments revealed during pre-fight press conferences could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected analysis from MMA experts or shifts in public opinion, driven by social media or betting trends, could also influence the market. Furthermore, any information about the fighters’ weight cuts or physical condition leading up to the fight could lead to adjustments in the probabilities offered in this market.