TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 10:14 PM EST
Kalshi
The outcome is Yes if Erin Blanchfield wins by knockout, technical knockout, disqualification, submission, or decision during the scheduled fight against Jasmine Jasudavicius.
The market resolves to Yes if Erin Blanchfield wins by KO/TKO/DQ, Submission, or Decision in any round. Similarly, it resolves to Yes if Jasmine Jasudavicius wins by any of these methods. A draw or no contest also resolves this market to Yes. The event is the UFC Fight Night bout scheduled for Oct 17, 2026.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome of the Blanchfield vs Jasudavicius fight. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of each method of victory. This creates a real-time probability assessment based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result announced by the relevant fighting organization, determining the specific method of victory for the Blanchfield vs Jasudavicius fight. The outcome will be determined by whether the fight ends by knockout, submission, decision, or is declared a draw or no contest, as officially recorded and reported.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference statements could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected analysis from MMA experts or significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks could also impact the odds. Furthermore, shifts in public perception, driven by social media or news coverage, might cause traders to reassess the probabilities of each outcome in this market, leading to price fluctuations.