TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 18, 11:13 AM EST
Limitless
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 18, 2026, 13:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
This market resolves to "YES" if the listed club wins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts, in the match scheduled for October 18, 2026, 13:00 UTC. Otherwise, it will resolve to "NO." If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match has been completed. If the match is not completed as scheduled for any reason (for example, if it is abandoned, canceled, or awarded), and an official final result is recognized by the governing body or event organizers, this market will resolve based on that result. If no official final result is recognized and no make-up match is scheduled, this market will resolve "NO." Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
On Limitless, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the participants. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price converges as more trades are executed. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more volume traded, the more confident traders are in the price reflecting the true probability of the event. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Leeds vs Manchester United match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders who correctly predicted the result will be paid out according to the final market prices at resolution. It's important to monitor news sources and official announcements leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the event's outcome and subsequent market settlement.
Several signals could significantly move this market before Oct 19, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions for either Leeds or Manchester United would likely have a substantial impact. Unexpected changes in team form, such as a surprising win or loss in a preceding match, could also shift trader sentiment. Major news regarding team tactics or managerial decisions could also influence the market. Finally, any significant pre-match analysis from reputable sports analysts could sway opinions and lead to increased trading activity, affecting the odds for this market.