TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 4:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a soccer match between Enschede and Thun. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regulated time of the game.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Enschede vs Thun professional Conference League soccer match, scheduled for October 15, 2026, exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any added stoppage time; goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts are excluded. Each market has a different threshold, ranging from more than 0.5 goals to more than 5.5 goals. If the actual number of goals meets or exceeds the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to 'Yes.' The rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, and may be influenced by public betting patterns or promotional offers. This market, however, is driven by individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models, the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi can sometimes lead to odds that diverge from those offered elsewhere, potentially offering value to informed bettors.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes – in this case, various total goal counts for the Enschede vs Thun match. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market depth, or the number of buy and sell orders at different price levels, indicates the strength of conviction behind each potential outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final goal tally of the Enschede vs Thun match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing football association. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered; only goals scored during regular play will count towards determining the winning contract in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Enschede or Thun would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable for high-scoring games, could also impact trading. Furthermore, any pre-match analysis from reputable football analysts predicting a specific scoreline might sway traders’ opinions. Finally, even significant betting patterns observed at sportsbooks could indirectly influence activity on Kalshi.