TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 4:53 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Enschede and Thun, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result is determined based on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Bets are settled according to specific goal-difference thresholds that define whether a team has won by a sufficient margin.
The event resolves based on the goal differential of the Enschede vs Thun professional Conference League soccer match scheduled for October 15, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Four distinct outcome thresholds define resolution: Enschede winning by more than 2.5 goals, Enschede winning by more than 1.5 goals, Thun winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Thun winning by more than 2.5 goals. If the match result meets any of these conditions, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. The event operates independently of official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in how each assesses the probability of an event. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, particularly as new information becomes available or as the event draws closer.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Enschede vs Thun match, as reported by a widely recognized sports data provider. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the final result. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date for any potential delays or changes to the event schedule.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 16, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors affecting the match could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed traders or the release of updated statistical analysis could trigger price movements. Monitoring sports news and following the developments surrounding the Enschede vs Thun match is crucial for understanding potential catalysts.