TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 2:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in Egypt's Premier League between two teams. The result depends solely on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the result of the Enppi vs Al Mokawloon Egyptian Premier League match scheduled for October 19, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Enppi wins, the 'Enppi' market resolves to Yes. If Al Mokawloon wins, the 'Al Mokawloon' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a margin for profit. This market, driven by individual traders, can sometimes identify information not fully captured by sportsbooks, leading to discrepancies. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information, like injuries or changes in team form, compared to the more deliberate adjustments of sportsbook lines. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders believe Al Mokawloon wins, for example, the price of contracts predicting that outcome will increase. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top market on Kalshi is Al Mokawloon wins, and the price reflects the collective assessment of all participants trading in this market. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a constantly updated forecast.
This market resolves around Oct 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Enppi vs Al Mokawloon match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. The final result will be publicly available on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Enppi or Al Mokawloon would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, such as recent wins or losses, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match tactical announcements from the managers, could introduce new information and cause the market to react. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also contribute to price fluctuations.