TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 13, 4:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a women's FIFA World Cup qualifier between England and Greece, focusing solely on the result after regulation time. It allows participants to speculate on whether England, Greece, or neither (a tie) will win the match within the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The resolution depends strictly on the final score at the end of regulation, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the result of the England vs Greece professional FIFA World Cup Qualifiers Women soccer game scheduled for October 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If England wins, the 'Reg Time: England' market resolves to Yes; if Greece wins, the 'Reg Time: Greece' market resolves to Yes; and if the game ends in a tie, the 'Reg Time: Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets exclusively consider regulation time outcomes, with no account for extended play or penalty decisions.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the “wisdom of the crowd,” often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – and as the event approaches, the odds on Kalshi may converge with or diverge from sportsbook odds, depending on how the market interprets the new data. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional methods of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current volume traded in this market is $57,471, indicating the level of interest and activity among traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the England vs Greece match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on the regulation time moneyline – which team wins the match before any extra time or penalty shootouts. The official result declared by the governing football association will be used to determine the winning outcome. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the resolution is finalized on Kalshi.
Several factors could significantly impact the odds for this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either England or Greece would likely cause movement. Unexpected changes in team formations or tactical approaches announced by the managers could also influence trader sentiment. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day, and even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, could all contribute to shifts in the market price. Major upsets in other relevant matches leading up to the game could also indirectly affect how traders assess the probabilities.