TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 6:36 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the spread for the England versus Czechia match, specifically whether England will win by more than 2.5 goals. Currently, the consensus probability of England covering the spread is 100.0%. This aggregate reflects predictions from Predict and Polymarket, and will be resolved using official statistics of the event as recognized by UEFA.com. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the final score differential on October 6, 2026 will determine the outcome of this market.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 6 at 2:45 PM ET.
More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 6 at 2:45 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources of participants. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction market participants are incentivized to express their true beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when incorporating information not readily reflected in sportsbook lines. However, sportsbooks generally offer more markets, and prediction market volume for this market is currently $1,351,456, which can sometimes lead to price slippage compared to more liquid sportsbook offerings.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may diverge due to differences in user base, market design, and liquidity. Polymarket may attract a different type of trader than Predict, leading to varying interpretations of available information. Additionally, the specific rules and fees associated with each platform can influence trading behavior and price discovery. Currently, Polymarket and Predict may have differing volume levels, impacting price stability and responsiveness to new information. These factors contribute to the potential for price discrepancies even when both markets address the same event.