TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
$181,481,432
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2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 4:43 PM EST
Kalshi
Two football nations compete in a match set for 90 minutes of play, where any goal scored by either team contributes to the overall result of the game.
If England and Czechia both score a goal in the England vs Czechia UEFA Nations League match originally scheduled for Oct 6, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, being driven by individual traders, can sometimes offer more competitive odds, or odds that diverge based on collective insight. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, this market allows for a 'wisdom of the crowd' effect, potentially identifying undervalued or overvalued probabilities. It's common to see differences emerge as new information becomes available and perspectives shift.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a consensus view, offering a real-time assessment of the likelihood of both England and Czechia finding the net.
This market resolves around Oct 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both England and Czechia score at least one goal during the match. The official result of the England vs Czechia match will be the determining factor. The platform will verify the outcome against publicly available and trusted sports data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts adjusted based on the final result.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either England or Czechia would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other relevant matches, or shifts in public opinion regarding the teams' attacking capabilities, could also play a role. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of both teams scoring will likely cause fluctuations in the price of this market.