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England vs. Croatia - First Team to Score
polymarket

England vs. Croatia - First Team to Score

Oct 30, 2026, 6:01 AM EST - Nov 12, 2026, 2:45 PM EST
Total volume:
N/A
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$29
1%
Open interest:
N/AN/A

England

 - Polymarket

England - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 12, 2026

Time left: 09d:19h:35m

England to score first vs. Croatia?

48%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
polymarket

Trade on Polymarket

At 95¢ buys you 105 shares | Odds: 48% Total Payout: $105 | Net Profit: $5 Multiplier: 1.05x | ROI: 5% | APY: 376% Low liquidity 9 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

England

Trade
48%
Yes 95¢No 99¢
94¢
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 19h
Active
polymarket

Croatia

48%
Yes 95¢No 99¢
94¢
$3
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 19h
Active
polymarket

Neither

88%
4%
Yes 88¢No 56¢
—
$23
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 19h
Active
Total markets: 3

Description

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League match between England and Croatia, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "England" if England are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Croatia" if Croatia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Neither". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "Neither". The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game. If the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, including a result awarded that differs from the score as played, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from UEFA Nations League (https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "Neither".

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League match between England and Croatia, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "England" if England are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Croatia" if Croatia are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Neither". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "Neither". The following abandonment rules apply only when this market's outcome was not already definitively determined under its rules before abandonment. If the game is abandoned, this market will resolve according to the official ruling of the governing body or event organizers on the abandoned game. If the result as played at the time of abandonment is declared to stand by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the game as played. If the game is replayed or resumed from the point of abandonment and has an official result by Saturday, November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the completed result. In any other case, including a result awarded that differs from the score as played, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition. If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent. The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from UEFA Nations League (https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/). If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "Neither".

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the England vs. Croatia first goal market tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You can see how the implied probability of each outcome shifts in real-time as traders buy and sell shares. Currently, the 24-hour volume is $0 and the total volume traded is $0. This allows you to gauge market sentiment and identify potential trading opportunities related to which team will score the opening goal in this highly anticipated match.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of the prediction market as new information becomes available. It’s common to see prediction market prices adjust more rapidly to breaking news or changing circumstances than sportsbook lines.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, making it a dynamic and responsive indicator of expectations for the England vs. Croatia match.

This market resolves around Nov 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team—England or Croatia—scores the first goal in the match. The resolution will be based on official match data and will be determined by the official game records. Any disputes regarding the outcome will be resolved using generally accepted sources of sports information.

Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either England or Croatia would likely cause shifts in the odds. Tactical announcements from either manager, such as confirmed starting lineups or changes in formation, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match commentary from prominent football analysts, might also move the market. Overall, any information that alters perceptions of either team's chances of scoring first has the potential to affect trading volume and price.