TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.5b

24H VOL:

$271,200,656

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,922,627,141

420,368

Markets across

40,352

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,484

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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England vs. Croatia
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of England vs. Croatia?

Total volume:
$3,318
Volume 24h:
$198
88%
Liquidity:
$10,902
16%
Open interest:
$3,282
5%

England

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 12, 2026

Time left: 09d:21h:36m

England wins

78%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 78¢ buys you 128 shares | Odds: 78% Total Payout: $128 | Net Profit: $28 Multiplier: 1.28x | ROI: 28% APY not meaningful 9 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

England

Trade
78%
Yes 78¢No 25¢
3¢
N/A
$517
2%
N/A
$517
1w 2d 21h
Active
polymarket

England

Trade
77%
Yes 78¢No 25¢
3¢
$4,147
$3
144%
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 18h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
78%
Yes 78¢No 25¢
Avg: 3¢Max: 3¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
16%
Yes 16¢No 88¢
4¢
N/A
$106
513%
N/A
$106
1w 2d 21h
Active
polymarket

Draw (England vs. Croatia)

Trade
15%
Yes 17¢No 87¢
4¢
$2,748
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 18h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
16%
Yes 16¢No 88¢
Avg: 4¢Max: 4¢
kalshi

Croatia

Trade
9%
Yes 8¢No 93¢
1¢
N/A
$2,659
2%
N/A
$2,659
1w 2d 21h
Active
polymarket

Croatia

Trade
8%
Yes 9¢No 94¢
3¢
$4,007
$33
0%
N/A
N/A
1w 2d 18h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
9%
Yes 8.5¢No 93.5¢
Avg: 2¢Max: 3¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group covers the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between England and Croatia scheduled for November 12, 2026. Markets ask whether England will win, Croatia will win, or the game will end in a draw. All markets consider only the first 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket includes detailed no-result and abandonment provisions, while Kalshi does not address these scenarios.Hero tip: Polymarket's abandonment rules introduce additional risk. Consider this when comparing probabilities, as a cancellation or abandonment is more likely to resolve 'No' on Polymarket than on Kalshi.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled, doesn't start by Nov 14, 2026, or is abandoned with no official result, the market resolves to 'No'. Abandoned games resolve based on governing body rulings or the result as played.
  • Kalshi: If England or Croatia wins, or the game is a draw, the market resolves to 'Yes'. No mention of no-result or abandonment scenarios.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between England and Croatia, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 12, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

The event covers three possible outcomes for the England vs Croatia UEFA Nations League match scheduled for November 12, 2026: England win, Croatia win, or a tie—all determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if its respective outcome occurs. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the England vs. Croatia match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $3,318, with $198 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides a consensus view of predictions, reflecting the collective wisdom of market participants. Polymarket currently favors Will England win on 2026-11-12? at 76.5%, while Kalshi leans toward England wins at 78.0%. The dashboard aggregates this information to show a comprehensive outlook on the event.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, factoring in a 'vig' or commission. Prediction markets, however, are driven by participants directly betting on the outcome, creating a more accurate reflection of true probabilities. This market benefits from the collective intelligence of a diverse group of traders, potentially identifying mispriced opportunities that sportsbooks might miss. The volume of $3,318 suggests significant interest in this event.

This market resolves around Nov 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the England vs. Croatia match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The final outcome of this market will reflect the actual result of the game, and all trades will be settled accordingly. The current volume of $3,318 shows strong engagement with this event and its eventual outcome.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Nov 12, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player form, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions or controversies surrounding the match could also impact trading activity. Major upsets in other relevant matches, or even broader shifts in public sentiment, might also play a role. Monitoring these signals and how traders on Polymarket and Kalshi react will be key to understanding price movements in this market.