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England vs. Argentina
polymarket
predict

What is the result of England vs Argentina?

Volume:
$44,295,394

Argentina

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 15, 2026

Closed: Jul 15, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Argentina

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.3¢
N/A
$12,499,622
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

ARG

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$476,987
$2,621,951
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

ENG

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$26,632
$2,443,499
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

England

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,582,672
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$26,000
$752,167
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (England vs. Argentina)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,395,483
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the England versus Argentina FIFA World Cup match scheduled for July 15, 2026. Aggregating data from Polymarket and Predict, the consensus probability shows England winning at 68.0%, with a draw at 28.0%. Resolution will be determined by FIFA official statistics or, if unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, by consensus of credible reporting. Watch for the final whistle on July 15, 2026, which will trigger settlement across all platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Predict platforms apply identical resolution logic across all three outcome markets with no material divergence in scope, timing, source hierarchy, or edge case handling.Primary resolution logic: FIFA official statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; fallback to consensus of credible reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Match outcome determined by goals scored within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only
  • England win market resolves Yes if England scores more goals than Argentina; otherwise No
  • Argentina win market resolves Yes if Argentina scores more goals than England; otherwise No
  • Draw market resolves Yes if both teams score equal goals; otherwise No
  • Exactly one of the three markets will resolve Yes; the other two resolve No (mutually exclusive outcomes)

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: All markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on a future date. No early settlement occurs.
  • Match Cancellation (No Makeup): England win and Argentina win markets resolve to No. Draw market resolves to Yes.
  • Post-Resolution Score Revision: Any official score corrections made after market resolution are not recognized. Markets settle on the officially declared final result at time of resolution.
  • Extra Time and Penalties: Resolution scope is limited to 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution criteria.
  • Resolution Source Timing: Primary source is official FIFA statistics. If unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus becomes the authoritative source.
Timing: Markets resolve within 2 hours after match conclusion on July 15, 2026, based on official FIFA statistics or credible reporting consensus if official data unavailable within that window.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Wednesday, July 15, 2026 between England and Argentina.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Wednesday, July 15, 2026 between England and Argentina.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data on the England vs. Argentina match across Polymarket and Predict, allowing you to monitor real-time odds and trading activity in one place. Traders on both platforms are pricing their views on the outcome of this fixture, with volume and consensus odds updated continuously. By tracking this market across venues, you gain visibility into how different communities of predictors assess the match, helping you spot pricing discrepancies and make more informed decisions about where to trade.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes using different mechanisms. Sportsbooks set odds based on internal models and manage liability through margin; prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous order flow, often reflecting real-time information faster. Prediction market odds tend to shift more dynamically as new information emerges, while sportsbooks may lag slightly to avoid sharp action. Neither is inherently more accurate, but comparing the two can highlight where public sentiment diverges from professional oddsmaking, revealing potential value or consensus blind spots on this market.

Polymarket and Predict operate with different user bases, liquidity pools, and trading mechanics, which naturally creates price variation between them. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform's odds reflect the aggregate beliefs of its traders at any given moment, and differences in order flow, market depth, or the timing of major news can cause temporary divergence. Arbitrage traders often exploit these gaps, but until prices fully converge, you may find better value on one venue than the other for the same outcome on this matchup.