TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 5:56 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between En Avant Guingamp and Pau FC, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "En Avant Guingamp" if En Avant Guingamp are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Pau FC" if Pau FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between En Avant Guingamp and Pau FC, scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "En Avant Guingamp" if En Avant Guingamp are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Pau FC" if Pau FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the collective beliefs of informed traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the two, it might indicate that the market perceives information differently than the sportsbook, or that one venue has more liquidity. It’s valuable to compare the probabilities implied by both to gain a more comprehensive view of the event’s potential outcomes.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each team scoring first. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of each team taking the early lead. The current implied probabilities are influenced by factors like team form, injuries, and recent performance.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team is officially recorded as scoring the first goal in the En Avant Guingamp vs. Pau FC match. Any goals disallowed by the referee or overturned by VAR will not be considered. The official match records will serve as the definitive source for determining the winning outcome of this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the match concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Guingamp or Pau FC would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also affect trading activity. Additionally, any significant updates on team tactics or formations released by the managers could prompt traders to reassess their positions, leading to price movements in this market.