TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$238,896,186
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,985,204,718
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,897,934,485
408,127
Markets across
39,552
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,429
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:16 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between En Avant Guingamp and AS Saint-Étienne, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "En Avant Guingamp" if En Avant Guingamp are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AS Saint-Étienne" if AS Saint-Étienne are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between En Avant Guingamp and AS Saint-Étienne, scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "En Avant Guingamp" if En Avant Guingamp are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "AS Saint-Étienne" if AS Saint-Étienne are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of either team scoring first. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. Comparing these odds can offer valuable insights for informed decision-making.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy shares in AS Saint-Étienne to score first, the price of those shares will increase, reflecting growing confidence in that outcome. Conversely, increased trading activity favoring En Avant Guingamp would drive up the price of their shares. This dynamic pricing ensures the market reflects the collective intelligence of the traders.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which team scores the first goal in the En Avant Guingamp versus AS Saint-Étienne match. The result will be determined by official match data and verified against credible public sources. The platform will then distribute payouts to traders based on the final outcome and their holdings in the respective shares. This ensures a transparent and objective resolution process for all participants.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. News regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either En Avant Guingamp or AS Saint-Étienne would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, such as recent wins or losses, could also impact market sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match tactical announcements from the managers, could prompt traders to adjust their positions. Any information that alters the perceived probability of either team scoring first has the potential to move this market considerably before Oct 31, 2026.