TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 10:55 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Serie B soccer match between Empoli and Palermo. The result will be determined based on the final score after the regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Markets will reflect whether Empoli wins, Palermo wins, or the game ends in a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Empoli vs Palermo professional Serie B soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Empoli win, Palermo win, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The resolution strictly follows the official match result as recorded by the governing league, with no consideration given to post-regulation events such as extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, factoring in public betting patterns and a built-in margin. This market, however, is driven purely by individuals trading on their beliefs about the outcome of the Empoli vs Palermo match. As a result, you may find that the implied probabilities from Kalshi differ from those offered by sportsbooks, potentially reflecting a more accurate assessment of the event's true likelihood, or simply a different set of information considered by traders.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Empoli vs Palermo match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, leading to dynamic price fluctuations. The more traders believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will climb, and vice versa.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Empoli vs Palermo match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle based on which team wins the match, or if the match ends in a draw. The final score will be used to determine the winning outcome, and the platform will verify this information against established sports results sources. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market before Oct 10, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could all shift traders’ expectations. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or tactical changes right before the match would likely cause significant price movement. Furthermore, large-volume trades from informed individuals could also indicate a shift in sentiment and influence the price of contracts related to the Empoli vs Palermo match.