TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 6:28 PM EST
Polymarket
More markets for the Serie B game, scheduled for October 23 at 2:30 PM ET.
More markets for the Serie B game, scheduled for October 23 at 2:30 PM ET.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither is guaranteed to be correct. Analyzing the difference can provide valuable insights into public perception and potential value.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts to reflect the collective wisdom. The higher the demand for shares in a particular outcome, the higher its price will climb, indicating increased confidence in that result. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to evolving expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Empoli vs. Vicenza match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts to those who correctly predicted the result. It’s important to note that the official result is the sole determinant, and any disputes regarding the match itself will not affect the market’s resolution.
Several factors could influence this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift the odds. Additionally, performance in recent matches, weather conditions, and even public sentiment expressed on social media can all play a role. Major upsets in other related matches or surprising tactical decisions announced by either team could also cause the market to react. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price movements and making informed trading decisions.