TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 6:29 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Empoli FC and L.R. Vicenza, scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Empoli FC" if Empoli FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "L.R. Vicenza" if L.R. Vicenza are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Empoli FC and L.R. Vicenza, scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Empoli FC" if Empoli FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "L.R. Vicenza" if L.R. Vicenza are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to profit by balancing action on both sides. This market, however, allows traders to express their own beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately forecast the true probability of either Empoli or Vicenza scoring first. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of trading activity in the prediction market.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief about which team will score first. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders buy shares in a particular team, the price increases, reflecting growing confidence in their chances. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand, with traders adjusting their positions based on new information and their own analysis of the match.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on which team, Empoli or L.R. Vicenza, scores the first goal in the match. Official match reports from reputable sports news sources will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market will then settle, and shares will be redeemed based on whether the team a trader supported ultimately scored first.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Late-breaking news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Empoli or Vicenza would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to team morale or internal conflicts could also move the market, as traders react to any information that alters their assessment of each team’s chances of scoring first.