TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Emmen and Almere in the Eerste Divisie league. The match's result will determine the resolution of specific markets based on which team wins or if the game ends in a tie after the standard playing time.
The event centers on the Emmen vs Almere professional Eerste Divisie soccer match scheduled for October 17, 2026, and resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Emmen win, Almere win, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. Should the game end in a tie after the allotted time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The platform explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines to balance their risk, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public opinion shifts. Generally, prediction markets are considered highly efficient, and their odds can be a valuable signal, sometimes even more accurate than traditional betting lines. It's important to compare both to form a well-rounded view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing sentiment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the potential results of the Emmen vs Almere match. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, which drives price discovery.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Emmen vs Almere match—which team wins, or if the match ends in a draw—will determine the settlement of contracts on Kalshi. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing soccer league, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments could significantly shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, public sentiment and media coverage surrounding the teams’ recent performance can impact trading volume and price movements. Major upsets in other related matches or broader soccer league news might also indirectly affect this market, as traders reassess the overall competitive landscape.