TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 5:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Elversberg will win their professional Bundesliga soccer game against Mainz. Currently, Kalshi gives Elversberg a 97.0% probability of winning, with a 3.0% probability assigned to a tie. The market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by the official result of the Elversberg vs Mainz game. Keep a close watch on the match itself, scheduled for October 30, 2026, as the final whistle will determine the outcome of this market.
The event resolves based on the official result of the Elversberg vs Mainz professional Bundesliga soccer match originally scheduled for October 30, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome for Elversberg occurs if Elversberg wins the match within regulation time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for Mainz occurs if Mainz wins the match within regulation time. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The event exclusively considers the result after normal time and does not account for extra time or penalty shootouts. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s prices are driven purely by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their own analysis. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that prediction market traders have information or a perspective not fully incorporated into the sportsbook’s pricing. It's a useful comparison point for informed decision-making.
This market resolves around Oct 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Elversberg vs Mainz match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about any potential factors that could influence the result.
Several factors could impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or shifts in coaching strategies could significantly influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, broader sporting news, such as upsets in related competitions, might affect overall confidence in either team. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact is key to understanding how this market might evolve.