TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 27, 5:38 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming soccer match between Elversberg and Darmstadt. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the anticipated offensive performance of both teams within the standard match duration.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored during the Elversberg vs Darmstadt professional DFB Pokal soccer match scheduled for October 27, 2026. All markets resolve based on the total goals scored after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, explicitly excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market corresponds to a different numerical threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the actual total goals exceed the respective threshold. The governing rules consistently apply across all markets, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or ownership of associated trademarks and branding.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the implied probabilities from both sources can reveal interesting insights into how the event is perceived by different groups, and potentially identify value opportunities.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, meaning traders are constantly buying and selling contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the current market consensus on its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are influenced by factors like team news, injuries, and overall betting sentiment, and the platform facilitates price discovery through open trading. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a fluid and responsive assessment of the potential goal totals.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total goals scored in the Elversberg vs Darmstadt match will be used to determine the winning contract. The final score, as reported by official sources, will be the basis for settlement. It’s important to note that any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered – only goals scored during regular play count towards the resolution of this market. The result will be verified against credible public sources.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Elversberg or Darmstadt would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions on match day could also influence trader behavior. Unexpected announcements about starting lineups or pre-match analysis from reputable sources could also shift the odds. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large volume of trades in a particular direction – can create momentum and drive price movements in this market.