TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:45 AM EST
Kalshi
The market assesses various thresholds for total goals in an upcoming Bundesliga match between Elversberg and Augsburg. Each threshold represents a different level of scoring intensity, allowing participants to bet on whether the combined goals will exceed specific amounts.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified number of goals (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5) are scored during the Elversberg vs Augsburg professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded from goal counts. The secondary rule clarifies that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, whereas this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when public opinion shifts. While sportsbooks may initially favor one outcome, this market can quickly adjust based on new information or changing sentiment. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but they represent distinct approaches to forecasting the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes in the Elversberg vs Augsburg match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of the likely number of goals scored. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies. The market’s efficiency is driven by the collective intelligence of its participants.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the total number of goals scored in the Elversberg vs Augsburg match, as officially recorded by the governing football authorities. The market will settle based on this official number, and contracts will pay out accordingly. Traders should ensure they understand the official rules of the match to accurately assess the potential outcomes and manage their positions before resolution. The outcome will be based on the official match statistics.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Elversberg or Augsburg would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect the expected number of goals. Unexpected tactical changes announced by either manager could shift expectations as well. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by expert analysis or social media discussion, could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.