TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 11:41 AM EST
Kalshi
The Elversberg vs Augsburg match will test both teams' offensive capabilities, with particular attention on whether either side can establish a dominant lead.
The market resolves to Yes if Elversberg wins by more than 2.5 goals, Elversberg wins by more than 1.5 goals, Augsburg wins by more than 1.5 goals, or Augsburg wins by more than 2.5 goals in the professional Bundesliga soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded from consideration. The rules clarify that Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially leading to a more accurate forecast. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the same data. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly as new information becomes available, potentially diverging from or converging with sportsbook offerings.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price fluctuates, providing a dynamic assessment of the event’s likelihood. The current price indicates the collective belief about the spread in the Elversberg vs Augsburg match, and traders can capitalize on perceived mispricings.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Elversberg vs Augsburg match as officially reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It's important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand how the final result will be determined.
Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in preceding matches, or even public statements from key players, can also influence the price. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in market perception. Monitoring these signals closely will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.