TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 4:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead at halftime in an upcoming college football game between Elon and North Carolina A&T. It focuses solely on the first half performance, ignoring the final game result. The outcome depends on whether Elon, North Carolina A&T, or neither team (in case of a tie) holds the advantage when the first half concludes.
If North Carolina A&T wins the 1st half of the Elon vs North Carolina A&T college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Elon wins the 1st half of the Elon vs North Carolina A&T college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 1st half of the Elon vs North Carolina A&T college football game originally scheduled for Oct 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, and can sometimes differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders' willingness to buy or sell contracts. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing a particular outcome, they may drive the price on Kalshi in that direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of information becomes public, and as the event draws closer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect new information and changing sentiment. Currently, the market indicates a certain level of confidence in one team, but this can shift rapidly based on news or other developments. The total volume traded in this market is $3,526.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result will be determined by which team is leading at the end of the first half of the Elon vs North Carolina A&T game. The official score at halftime will be used to verify the winning team. Traders who correctly predicted the first-half winner will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution, while those who bet on the losing team will forfeit their stake.
Several signals could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather conditions could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or performance metrics could also cause significant price movements. Furthermore, large volume trades on Kalshi from informed traders could signal a shift in expectations. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, might also play a role, though the market's price will ultimately be determined by trading activity on the platform.