TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Elon Phoenix vs. Columbia Lions
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
predict
kalshi

Who will win Elon Phoenix vs Columbia Lions?

Total volume:
$774
Volume 24h:
$774N/A
Liquidity:
$20,251
814%
Open interest:
$736
1,050,729%

Columbia

 - Kalshi

Columbia - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 2, 2026

Time left: 04h:01m:31s

Columbia wins

64%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 64¢ buys you 156 shares | Odds: 64% Total Payout: $156 | Net Profit: $56 Multiplier: 1.56x | ROI: 56% APY not meaningful
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Columbia

Trade
64%
2%
Yes 64¢No 37¢
1¢
N/A
$626
868,000%
N/A
$626
4h 1m
Active
kalshi

Elon

Trade
39%
Yes 39¢No 62¢
1¢
N/A
$110
0%
N/A
$110
4h 1m
Active
polymarket

Elon Phoenix vs. Columbia Lions

Trade
38%
2%
Yes 38¢No 63¢
1¢
$20,251
$38
0%
N/A
N/A
1h 1m
Active
predict

Elon Phoenix vs. Columbia Lions

Trade
N/A
N/A
9¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1h 1m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
37.5%
Yes 38¢No 63¢
Avg: 5¢Max: 9¢
Total markets: 4

Description

This event group concerns the November 2nd, 2026 NCAA Men's Basketball game between the Elon Phoenix and the Columbia Lions. Markets ask who will win the game, with provisions for postponed or canceled games.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is fundamentally flawed, resolving 'Yes' regardless of the winner. Polymarket correctly identifies a winner-takes-all scenario.Hero tip: Focus on Polymarket as the primary market due to its correct and sensible resolution logic. Avoid Kalshi as it will always resolve 'Yes'.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market will resolve to "Elon Phoenix" if Elon wins, or "Columbia Lions" if Columbia wins. If the game is postponed, the market remains open; if canceled, it resolves 50-50. Source: https://www.ncaa.com
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if either Elon or Columbia wins the game. This is a nonsensical resolution condition. Source: Not explicitly stated, but implied to be game outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the CBB game between Elon Phoenix and Columbia Lions on November 2 at 7:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the official result of the Elon vs Columbia men’s college basketball game scheduled for November 2, 2026. If Columbia wins, the Columbia market resolves to Yes; if Elon wins, the Elon market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original start time, markets stay open and resolve per the final result. Cancellation or failure to start within 48 hours leads to a fair price resolution for both markets. Kalshi emphasizes no affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Predict

This event is for the CBB game between Elon Phoenix and Columbia Lions on November 2 at 7:00PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Elon vs. Columbia game. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms shows a combined volume of $774, indicating moderate interest in this contest. While Polymarket currently favors Elon Phoenix vs. Columbia Lions at 37.5%, Kalshi leans toward Columbia wins at 64.0%. This dashboard allows you to compare probabilities and trading volume across both venues, providing a comprehensive overview of the prediction market for this event.

Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and to balance action, while prediction markets allow anyone to trade on their beliefs. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, as a larger and more diverse group of participants contributes to the pricing. However, sportsbooks may offer more favorable odds on certain outcomes to attract bets, which isn’t a primary concern for prediction markets focused on accurate probability assessment.

Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi for the Elon vs. Columbia game can arise from several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading dynamics, and risk assessments, which can lead to varying levels of conviction behind different outcomes. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform can influence price discovery; lower volume may result in wider bid-ask spreads and greater price volatility. Different fee structures and market-making activity on Polymarket versus Kalshi also contribute to potential price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Elon vs. Columbia game will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Resolution will be based on official game results as reported by a trusted sports news source, ensuring a transparent and verifiable process. Trading will cease prior to this date, allowing for final price discovery before the outcome is known.

Several signals could significantly shift the odds in this market before it resolves around Nov 3, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected player performance could influence predictions. Public sentiment, reflected in social media and sports news coverage, might also play a role. Furthermore, significant betting activity on either Polymarket or Kalshi could drive price movements as traders react to new information or adjust their positions based on perceived advantages. Ultimately, the market will reflect the collective assessment of these factors as the game approaches.