TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 3:48 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming ELH game, scheduled for October 16 at 11:30AM ET: If Vítkovice win, the market will resolve to "Vítkovice". If Motor České Budějovice win, the market will resolve to "Motor České Budějovice". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
In the upcoming ELH game, scheduled for October 16 at 11:30AM ET: If Vítkovice win, the market will resolve to "Vítkovice". If Motor České Budějovice win, the market will resolve to "Motor České Budějovice". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting biases or promotional offers, while this market relies on the collective judgment of informed traders. If there's a significant difference between the implied probability on Polymarket and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the event. It's important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived from different sources and methodologies, and can diverge based on differing information or analysis.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of these shares directly reflects the implied probability of the event happening. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more shares bought for a particular outcome, the higher its price rises, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the most up-to-date collective intelligence of all participants. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for exposure to a specific result in the ELH hockey match.
This market resolves around Oct 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the ELH hockey match – which team wins – will be used to determine the winning share(s) on Polymarket. Resolution will depend on official game results as reported by the league and verified through trusted sports news sources. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome will be entitled to a payout, while those holding shares in losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before Oct 16, 2026. Key player injuries or unexpected lineup changes for either Vítkovice or Motor České Budějovice would likely cause shifts in the odds. Significant news regarding team performance, coaching decisions, or even weather conditions could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate new information or a change in sentiment, potentially driving the market in a particular direction. Monitoring these signals can help understand the evolving probabilities reflected in this market.