TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 2:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between two teams competing in Sweden's top league. The result depends solely on who wins the match within the regular timeframe, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts. If neither team secures a victory during this period, the result is considered a draw.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Elfsborg vs Halmstad Allsvenskan match scheduled for October 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if either Elfsborg or Halmstad wins the match within regulation time. If the match ends level after regulation, the Tie market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the match be cancelled or postponed by more than 48 hours from its original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price according to Kalshi’s standard procedures. The event exclusively considers regulation-time results, with no account for extra time, penalty kicks, or other post-regulation resolutions.
Prediction market odds often differ from those offered by traditional sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the likely outcome. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction, potentially offering better value. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Elfsborg vs Halmstad match, and the price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a certain outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds reflect the collective intelligence of all participants trading on the platform, creating a unique perspective on the event’s probability.
This market resolves around Oct 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Elfsborg vs Halmstad match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports authority. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those who bet on the incorrect outcome will forfeit their stake. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly influence the price of this market. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Elfsborg or Halmstad would likely cause movement, as would changes in team form or tactical approaches. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Even public sentiment, reflected in social media discussions or expert analysis, can impact trading activity and shift the odds. Monitoring these signals can help you understand potential price fluctuations before Oct 12, 2026.