TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
API
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Elections
Crypto
Companies
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Elche vs Real Betis
opinion
kalshi

What is the result of Elche vs Real Betis?

Total volume:
$5,706
Volume 24h:
$984
74%
Liquidity:
N/AN/A
Open interest:
$5,579
18%

Real Betis

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Opinion

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 8, 2026

Time left: 05d:16h:30m

Real Betis wins

46%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 46¢ buys you 217 shares | Odds: 46% Total Payout: $217 | Net Profit: $117 Multiplier: 2.17x | ROI: 117% APY not meaningful 5 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Real Betis

Trade
46%
1%
Yes 46¢No 55¢
1¢
N/A
$5,637
21%
20,623%
$5,519
5d 16h 30m
Active
opinion

Real Betis wins

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 13h 30m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
46%
Yes 46¢No 55¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Elche

Trade
31%
Yes 29¢No 72¢
1¢
N/A
$34
0%
N/A
$34
5d 16h 30m
Active
opinion

Elche wins

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 13h 30m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
31%
Yes 29¢No 72¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
25%
2%
Yes 25¢No 76¢
1¢
N/A
$36
73%
N/A
$25
5d 16h 30m
Active
opinion

Draw

Trade
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
5d 13h 30m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
25%
Yes 25¢No 76¢
Avg: 1¢Max: 1¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group concerns the outcome of a La Liga soccer match between Elche and Real Betis scheduled for November 8, 2026. The markets ask whether Elche will win, Real Betis will win, or the match will end in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi structures the event as a single market resolving on any outcome (Elche win, Real Betis win, or draw), while Opinion creates three separate markets for each outcome.Hero tip: Kalshi's market is effectively an 'either/or/or' proposition, while Opinion's are 'either/or/or' *separately*. Consider the implied probabilities and potential for arbitrage.

Critical divergence points:

  • kalshi: Resolves Yes if any of the three outcomes (Elche win, Real Betis win, or draw) occur after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. "If Elche wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Real Betis wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result...then the market resolves to Yes."
  • opinion: Each market (Elche win, Real Betis win, Draw) resolves independently. Elche win resolves Yes only if Elche wins, Real Betis win resolves Yes only if Real Betis wins, and Draw resolves Yes only if the match ends in a draw.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Elche vs Real Betis professional La Liga soccer match scheduled for November 8, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Elche win, Real Betis win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a clear victory for either team within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. A tied score after regular time resolves the Tie market to Yes. Should the match be canceled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve at a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Opinion

This market refers to the La Liga match between Elche (ELC) and Real Betis (BET), scheduled for 2026-11-08 13:00 UTC. - ELC: If Elche wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - BET: If Real Betis wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both ELC and BET options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by La Liga. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.laliga.com/

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi and Opinion, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Elche vs Real Betis match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $5,706, with $939 traded in the last 24 hours. This indicates considerable interest in predicting the result of this contest. The consensus view, based on trading activity, suggests a particular outcome is more likely than others, though opinions differ between the venues. This market allows users to express their beliefs about the match’s result and profit if their predictions prove accurate.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect a more nuanced view than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. This can lead to differences, particularly when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome. However, both aim to accurately forecast the probability of events. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information and adjust probabilities based on real-time trading volume.

Kalshi and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Kalshi and Opinion may diverge due to several factors. Kalshi and Opinion have different user bases, leading to varying perspectives on the Elche vs Real Betis match. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, differing fee structures and market-making activity on each platform can contribute to price discrepancies. While both platforms ultimately aim to reflect the true probability of the outcome, these factors can cause temporary differences in pricing.

This market resolves around Nov 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the Elche vs Real Betis match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The official result, as reported by recognized sports authorities, will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders will be able to see the final outcome and how their predictions performed after the event concludes and the results are verified.

Several signals could significantly move this market before Nov 8, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Elche or Real Betis would likely impact the odds. Changes in team form, such as recent wins or losses, could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on match day might also play a role. Finally, any significant public endorsements or analysis predicting a specific outcome could influence trading activity and move the price of this market.