TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca - Halftime Result
Volume:
$3,212
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers halftime outcomes for the Elche CF vs. RCD Mallorca La Liga match scheduled for March 21, 2026. Markets track whether Mallorca leads, Elche leads, or the teams draw after 45 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical tautology: all three possible halftime outcomes (Mallorca win, Elche win, draw) are mapped to Yes resolution, making the market fundamentally unresolvable and unable to distinguish between outcomes.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on the Kalshi market. It will resolve to Yes regardless of the actual halftime result, rendering it useless for prediction. Trade only on Polymarket's three separate binary markets (Draw, Mallorca Leading, Elche Leading), which have clear, mutually exclusive resolution logic.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Single market with three outcome branches all resolving to Yes. Quote: 'If Mallorca is the winner... then resolves to Yes. If Elche is the winner... then resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result... then resolves to Yes.' This creates a logical impossibility where no outcome can be distinguished.
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive logic. Draw at halftime resolves Yes only if tied; Mallorca leading resolves Yes only if Mallorca wins; Elche leading resolves Yes only if Elche wins. Cancellation protocol: if game is postponed, market stays open; if canceled with no makeup, resolves No. Quote: 'If the game ends in a draw within the first 45 minutes... this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise... No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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