TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 10:00 AM EST
Predict
This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Elche CF and RC Celta de Vigo. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, and provides an option for 'Neither' if no goal is scored during that period.
In the upcoming match between Elche CF and RC Celta de Vigo, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Elche CF" if Elche CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "RC Celta de Vigo" if RC Celta de Vigo are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Elche CF and RC Celta de Vigo, scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Elche CF" if Elche CF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "RC Celta de Vigo" if RC Celta de Vigo are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on models and expert analysis, while prediction markets aggregate the opinions of many individuals, potentially revealing information not captured by traditional methods. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement. Furthermore, prediction markets allow traders to continuously update their beliefs as new information becomes available, resulting in dynamic odds that reflect evolving sentiment.
Prices for the Elche vs. Celta first-to-score market may diverge between Polymarket and Predict due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading volume, and liquidity, all of which can influence price discovery. Additionally, differing risk appetites and information access among traders on each platform can contribute to discrepancies. Currently, Polymarket currently favors neither team to score first at 97%, while Predict leans toward a different outcome. These variations are normal and highlight the independent nature of price formation on each platform.