TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 2:32 PM EST
Kalshi
The outcome depends on which team wins a professional basketball match between Elan Chalon and Cholet Basket. The game is part of France's top-tier LNB Elite league, and the result will be determined by the final score at the end of regulation time.
Markets resolve based on the winning team of the men's professional LNB Elite basketball game between Elan Chalon and Cholet Basket, scheduled for October 17, 2026, at 12:30 PM EDT. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, markets remain open and resolve according to the official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market’s odds are driven purely by individuals willing to buy or sell based on their own analysis. If prediction market odds diverge significantly from sportsbook odds, it might suggest that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. However, it’s important to remember that both represent different forms of forecasting and are subject to their own biases and information sources.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders can buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing beliefs. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if more people buy contracts for a particular outcome, the price will rise, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a highly efficient and informative market.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Elan Chalon versus Cholet Basket game. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome based on publicly available data. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be entitled to a payout based on the contract price at the time of resolution. It's important to monitor news sources leading up to the resolution date for any potential delays or changes to the game schedule.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or coaching decisions could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected performance in prior games by either Elan Chalon or Cholet Basket could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, general news about the teams or the league, such as changes in team management or significant player contracts, could also contribute to price movements. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves leading up to Oct 17, 2026.