TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 30, 11:10 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets resolve based on the margin of victory for either El Paso Locomotive FC or San Antonio in their upcoming match, considering only the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
Markets resolve based on whether El Paso Locomotive FC wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or San Antonio wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, in the professional USL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 30, 2026. The determination is made after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Kalshi emphasizes it is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks and brand names belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals with varying levels of knowledge. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. These differences can arise from varying risk assessments or differing interpretations of team performance and player conditions. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the El Paso vs San Antonio match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of its probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movements are driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe San Antonio will win by a certain spread, they will buy contracts representing that outcome, driving up its price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the El Paso vs San Antonio match, specifically the final spread, will be used to determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the officially reported results from the match organizers and will be publicly available. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or fulfill their obligations based on the final outcome. It’s important to monitor official sources for the confirmed results.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or unexpected coaching decisions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Weather conditions on the day of the match, such as heavy rain or strong winds, could also play a role. Furthermore, any significant shifts in public opinion or expert analysis regarding the teams' chances of winning could drive trading activity and move the market. Unexpected announcements related to team performance or player availability are also likely to cause fluctuations.