TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:21 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in a professional soccer match between Eindhoven and Willem II. The outcome depends on whether the combined goals exceed specific thresholds. It reflects the offensive performance of both teams during the regular time of the match.
The event resolves based on whether the total goals scored by both teams in the Eindhoven vs Willem II Eredivisie match exceed specified thresholds. All markets consider only goals scored within the 90 minutes plus any stoppage time added by the referee, explicitly excluding goals from extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market corresponds to a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), with the market resolving to 'Yes' if the actual total exceeds that threshold. The secondary rules clarify that the platform hosting these markets has no official affiliation with the league or its governing bodies, and all related trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market aggregates the views of many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither guarantees accuracy.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes – in this case, various total goal scenarios for the Eindhoven vs Willem II match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving collective belief about the likely number of goals scored. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a transparent and efficient market for forecasting the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result – the total number of goals scored in the Eindhoven vs Willem II match – will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The platform will verify this information against official match data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout based on the contract's price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift prices in this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Eindhoven or Willem II would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Even significant tactical announcements from either team’s manager could influence traders’ expectations about the number of goals scored, leading to adjustments in contract prices.