TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 3:37 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming Eredivisie soccer match between Eindhoven and Willem II. It focuses on how many goals the winning team scores beyond their opponent, reflecting the competitive balance and expected performance of both teams in the match.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios for the Eredivisie match between Eindhoven and Willem II scheduled for October 31, 2026. Resolution is determined solely by the full-time score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty shootouts. Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: Eindhoven winning by more than 2.5 goals, Eindhoven winning by more than 1.5 goals, Willem II winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Willem II winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each threshold represents a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if achieved, otherwise 'No'. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market prices and sportsbook odds, it might indicate that the market believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event, or vice versa. It's a useful comparison for informed bettors.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Eindhoven vs Willem II match as reported by official sports data providers. The market will determine whether the final score difference falls within the defined ranges represented by the available contracts. Traders will then be paid out or have their contracts forfeited based on whether their prediction matched the actual result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 31, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Eindhoven or Willem II would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or internal team issues could also move the market. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal new information or a change in expectations, causing prices to adjust rapidly.